Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 348.776997 395.074328 446.302006 507.375031 578.443070 658.817990 757.001593
2025-11-30 279.890881 340.731642 413.999333 509.481559 631.721985 784.448942 992.032691
2025-12-07 237.962836 303.185402 386.093729 500.603496 656.844439 865.785884 1171.842476
2025-12-14 210.146588 277.729555 367.485579 497.524257 684.657450 949.812098 1364.276943
2025-12-21 183.656290 249.935631 341.120787 478.482243 685.044504 992.270036 1499.856586
2025-12-28 172.894461 242.139047 340.772017 495.237100 738.054864 1117.546191 1781.660467
2026-01-04 164.605239 236.656187 342.616978 514.655030 796.611052 1258.558140 2113.266778
2026-01-11 153.416821 225.555797 334.587561 517.222432 827.652405 1357.921549 2389.344094
2026-01-18 140.990308 211.299143 320.098536 507.352436 835.965823 1418.441323 2603.451923
2026-01-25 130.216966 198.618374 306.789315 497.706363 842.918668 1476.580667 2822.340589
2026-02-01 125.081777 194.439128 306.728789 510.427606 891.061303 1617.387174 3236.339149
2026-02-08 117.720542 185.967932 298.695477 508.063308 910.585379 1705.184610 3553.776696
2026-02-15 110.101849 176.655968 288.737965 501.739915 922.851685 1782.559615 3870.327100
2026-02-22 104.564306 170.464300 283.679060 504.007702 952.488653 1901.050424 4312.442024
2026-03-01 97.906089 161.794364 273.442734 495.218518 958.213625 1968.298018 4642.380240
2026-03-08 92.697900 155.285302 266.550188 492.180611 975.493874 2063.934299 5069.213970
2026-03-15 85.818379 145.298999 252.471699 473.376304 956.323197 2071.918434 5258.663999
2026-03-22 84.093266 144.553033 255.602091 489.921841 1017.543777 2282.332809 6081.069721
2026-03-29 82.751986 144.398029 259.806398 509.095647 1087.374030 2526.862306 7080.056333
2026-04-05 79.555237 140.516546 256.424641 511.630657 1118.305886 2676.524192 7824.798679
2026-04-12 75.253629 134.241974 247.828202 501.885046 1118.172643 2742.907932 8311.610979
2026-04-19 71.294470 128.388712 239.668992 492.360144 1117.443758 2807.743622 8814.049138
2026-04-26 69.822855 127.311393 241.163901 504.921503 1174.597738 3048.249017 10040.461372